Friday, 31 October 2008

Weekend Tip

After our overly complex midweek multiples (multiple bets in multiples is two steps too far) we're back to simple singles this weekend. And there is just one of them:

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1. Everton to beat Fulham - 1.74

Speaking to a Fulham fan, he referred to their 'annual defeat at Goodison' and looking at the stats, this very much seems the case. Their record:

HEAD TO HEAD

Everton are defending a 100% home Premier League record against Fulham, and have not dropped a point in 15 top-flight games against the Cottagers at Goodison Park, since being held to a goalless draw on 5 September 1959.

Fulham have dropped more Premier League points away from home to Everton, than to any other club on their travels (21).

Fulham have not managed to score more than a single goal in Premier League matches at Goodison. They have lost two by a 3-1 margin and the last two by three goal margins.

Home and away
League (inc PL): Everton 19 wins, Fulham 13, Draws 8
Prem: Everton 7 wins, Fulham 7, Draws 0

at Everton only
League (inc PL): Everton 16 wins, Fulham 0, Draws 4
Prem: Everton 7 wins, Fulham 0, Draws 0

This could not be much more compelling. Everton are coming into form, and have the influential Tim Cahill back, and Fulham have been consistent in only one area over the past few seasons (apart from losing to Everton) - their bad away form.

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Advised Bet: Everton @ 1.74 vs Fulham
Advised Stake: 3 points

Current pot: 97.45

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