Friday, 7 November 2008

Weekend Picks

Its been a tough betting week this week - nothing has jumped out, nothing has been blindingly obvious - and most accumulators have gone down, bar the UEFA cup last night.

If we were heavy odds on backers, Liverpool look as solid a bet as you get in the Premiership. The reasons being:

Liverpool have won their last 10 league and cup meetings with West Brom, and are unbeaten in 17 (16 league) against them.

Albion's most recent victory over the Reds was a 2-0 top flight triumph at the Hawthorns on 7 February 1981, when Bryan Robson and Cyrille Regis helped themselves to a goal a piece.

The Baggies have not won at Anfield in 41 years, since prevailing 0-1 in the old First Division on 22 April 1967. They have drawn four and lost 15 of their 19 subsequent league visits.

West Brom have won six of 62 away matches in their Premier League history.

West Brom have picked up just one point out of 12 from a 2-2 home draw with Blackburn on 1 November.

West Brom have lost their last eight Premier League matches against 'Big Four' clubs, and not taken a point off the quartet of Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester United since winning 2-1, home to Arsenal on 15 October 2005.

Liverpool are undefeated in 16 home Premier League matches, and the only club still to lose a home top-flight game in 2008.

Liverpool have failed to score in only one of 16 home league games; the exception being the goalless draw with Stoke on 20 September.

Liverpool have won 13 of the last 16 league outings at Anfield (four of five this season); dropped just six points out of 48 since losing 0-1 to Manchester United on 16 December 2007.


However, at time of writing, the best price available on Liverpool is 1/4 (Stan James, BetFred, Paddy Power, Bet Direct, and Sky Bet).

We are always advocates of a winning bet being better than a losing bet - however short the odds - but the risk reward ratio here tilts it slightly toward a 'no'.

A little more value and we'd be on - as it stands, we'll leave this for the heavy odds on backers.

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